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Growth in the region is slowing, but considerably less than anticipated previously and is forecast to remain robust. The influence of AI is unmistakable in the region's industrial sector, but it is less apparent in the rest of the economy. Like in many other emerging markets and developing economies, AI use in East Asia and Pacific is less prevalent than in advanced economies. Firms cite costs, a lack of relevant knowledge, and concerns about security and privacy as barriers to AI adoption. Nevertheless, AI adoption is beginning to reshape skills demand as firms' requirements for AI-related skills are often paired with complementary analytical and soft skills. The region's dependence on AI-related industrial activity has been a source of strength, but it could become a weakness if global AI activity slows or reverses. Growth could also be weaker if energy shortages or damage from an unusually strong El Niño increase inflation and borrowing costs. To sustain growth and foster more productive jobs, AI can be leveraged through investments in infrastructure and skills, which encourage AI use while also supporting growth. Scaling up energy generation capacity, especially from renewables, can help meet strong electricity demand and lessen the risks of imported fossil fuel dependence.", "language" : "en", "authority" : null, "confidence" : 0, "place" : 0 } ], "dc.identifier" : [ { "value" : "https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/entities/publication/787334f4-6d0b-4b24-a2f0-4eeb7aa34705", "language" : null, "authority" : null, "confidence" : -1, "place" : 0 } ], "dc.identifier.UUID" : [ { "value" : "787334f4-6d0b-4b24-a2f0-4eeb7aa34705", "language" : null, "authority" : null, "confidence" : -1, "place" : 0 } ], "dc.identifier.citation" : [ { "value" : "World Bank. 2026. Riding the AI Wave. East Asia and Pacific Economic Update (October 2026). 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This performance reflects a constrained policy equilibrium burdened by sticky inflation, restricted fiscal space, and high borrowing costs, rather than the region's true economic potential. Beneath the regional average, national growth paths diverge. Countries making sound and durable policy choices are delivering stronger results: faster growth, more investment, and greater market confidence. While the region benefits from resilient export volumes and new trade agreements, a combination of external and domestic policy uncertainty counterbalances these upside opportunities. Pervasive labor informality, human capital deficits, and climate vulnerabilities like El Niño continue to hinder poverty reduction and weigh on private demand.\n\nChapter 2 explores artificial intelligence (AI) as a potential catalyst of economic development, highlighting \"small AI\" applications, targeted simple low-cost tools that solve specific, local problems. Harnessing AI for productivity growth requires building absorptive capacity, not costly frontier models. Moving beyond generative AI’s exposure to screen-based jobs, the report maps a staggered labor transition. It warns that subsistence wages protect informal workers from physical automation. To harness AI equitably, governments must act as GovTech anchor clients, fix data fundamentals, deploy extension services, and finance workforce reskilling.\n\n", "language" : "en", "authority" : null, "confidence" : 0, "place" : 0 }, { "value" : "O Panorama Econômico da América Latina e do Caribe projeta um crescimento regional resiliente de 2,2 por cento em 2026, em meio a ventos contrários. Esse desempenho reflete um equilíbrio de políticas restrito, sobrecarregado por inflação resistente, espaço fiscal limitado e custos de financiamento elevados, e não o verdadeiro potencial econômico da região. Por trás da média regional, as trajetórias de crescimento nacionais divergem. Os países que adotam política sólidas e duradouras têm apresentado resultados melhores: crescimento mais rápido, mais investimento e maior confiança do mercado. Embora a região se beneficie de volumes de exportação resilientes e de novos acordos comerciais, incertezas em relação às políticas externa e interna contrabalançam essas oportunidades de alta. A informalidade generalizada no mercado de trabalho, os déficits de capital humano e as vulnerabilidades climáticas (como o El Niño) continuam a dificultar a redução da pobreza e a pesar sobre a demanda privada.\n\nO Capítulo 2 explora a inteligência artificial (IA) como potencial catalisador do desenvolvimento econômico, com destaque para as aplicações de \"IA de pequena escala\": ferramentas simples, direcionadas e de baixo custo que solucionam problemas específicos e locais. Usar a IA para fomentar o crescimento da produtividade requer a construção de capacidade de absorção, e não de modelos de fronteira onerosos. Indo além da exposição dos empregos baseados em tela à IA generativa, o relatório mapeia uma transição escalonada no mercado de trabalho. O relatório alerta que os salários de subsistência protegem os trabalhadores informais da automação física. Para aproveitar a IA de forma equitativa, os governos devem atuar como clientes-âncora de GovTech, corrigir os fundamentos dos dados, implementar serviços de extensão e financiar a requalificação da força de trabalho.", "language" : "pt-PT", "authority" : null, "confidence" : -1, "place" : 1 }, { "value" : "El informe Panorama económico de América Latina y el Caribe proyecta un crecimiento regional resiliente del 2,2 por ciento en 2026 en un entorno global desafiante. Este desempeño refleja un equilibrio de políticas restringido —condicionado por una inflación persistente, un espacio fiscal limitado y altos costos de endeudamiento—, en lugar de reflejar el verdadero potencial económico de la región. Detrás del promedio regional, las trayectorias de crecimiento a nivel nacional divergen. Los países que han tomado decisiones de política sólidas y duraderas están obteniendo mejores resultados: mayor crecimiento, más inversión, y una mayor confianza de los mercados. Si bien la región se está beneficiando de volúmenes de exportación resilientes y de nuevos acuerdos comerciales, una combinación de incertidumbre de políticas externas e internas contrarresta estas oportunidades favorables. La informalidad laboral generalizada, los déficits de capital humano y las vulnerabilidades climáticas como El Niño siguen obstaculizando la reducción de la pobreza y limitando la demanda privada.\nEl Capítulo 2 explora la inteligencia artificial (IA) como un potencial catalizador del desarrollo económico, destacando las aplicaciones de la “IA a pequeña escala”, herramientas específicas, sencillas y de bajo costo que resuelven problemas locales concretos. Aprovechar la IA para el crecimiento de la productividad requiere desarrollar capacidades de absorción, y no costosos modelos de frontera. Yendo más allá de la exposición de los empleos basados en pantallas frente a la IA generativa, el informe caracteriza una transición laboral escalonada. Además, advierte que los salarios de subsistencia protegen a los trabajadores informales de la automatización física. Para aprovechar la IA de manera equitativa, los gobiernos deben actuar como clientes ancla de GovTech, subsanar las deficiencias fundamentales en los datos, desplegar servicios de extensión y financiar la recapacitación de la fuerza laboral.", "language" : "es", "authority" : null, "confidence" : -1, "place" : 2 } ], "dc.identifier" : [ { "value" : "https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/entities/publication/2a6e55ab-7e09-4ff6-b200-f3ae1daade36", "language" : null, "authority" : null, "confidence" : -1, "place" : 0 } ], "dc.identifier.UUID" : [ { "value" : "2a6e55ab-7e09-4ff6-b200-f3ae1daade36", "language" : null, "authority" : null, "confidence" : -1, "place" : 0 } ], "dc.identifier.citation" : [ { "value" : "World Bank. 2026. Harnessing the AI Transition. Latin America and the Caribbean Economic Update (October 2026). 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The Middle East conflict has dealt a historic blow to oil production. Hostilities between Russia and Ukraine are adding to challenges in energy and food markets. The ongoing El Niño, a very strong episode, threatens harvests of some agricultural commodities. Against this backdrop, overall commodity prices are expected to surge by 23 percent in 2026, led by a 32 percent increase in energy prices, with Brent oil averaging $91 per barrel. Food commodity prices are projected to rise 10 percent in 2026, while average metal prices are on track to reach an all-time high. In 2027, commodity prices are forecast to decline by 7 percent overall, with Brent oil receding to $79 per barrel, although food commodity prices are anticipated to climb another 7 percent. The forecast assumes no major escalation of the Middle East conflict, easing constraints on commodity exports from Russia and Ukraine, and manageable crop losses from El Niño. In an adverse scenario where none of these assumptions hold, Brent oil could average $105 per barrel in 2027, with food prices exceeding their 2022 level. Global inflation would then be higher, and food insecurity worse. The Special Focus in this edition analyzes commodity market connectedness, mapping how price volatility propagates. It finds that commodity-specific factors dominate price volatility on average, but connectedness rises during episodes of market stress. Industrial metals typically transmit the most volatility, but the relationships are not static. After the onset of the Middle East conflict in early 2026, volatility transmission via oil prices surged.", "language" : "en", "authority" : null, "confidence" : -1, "place" : 0 } ], "dc.identifier" : [ { "value" : "https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/entities/publication/5d01aa6a-9580-44c9-b669-7a9bf9f89e4d", "language" : null, "authority" : null, "confidence" : -1, "place" : 0 } ], "dc.identifier.UUID" : [ { "value" : "5d01aa6a-9580-44c9-b669-7a9bf9f89e4d", "language" : null, "authority" : null, "confidence" : -1, "place" : 0 } ], "dc.identifier.citation" : [ { "value" : "World Bank. 2026. Commodity Markets Outlook, October 2026. Washington, DC: World Bank. 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Президент Группы Всемирного банка и Председатель Совета исполнительных директоров представляют Годовой отчет вместе с сопутствующими административными бюджетами и аудированными финансовыми отчетами Совету управляющих.", "language" : "ru", "authority" : null, "confidence" : -1, "place" : 4 }, { "value" : "Le Rapport annuel du Groupe de la Banque mondiale 2026 présente les activités du Groupe de la Banque mondiale pour l’exercice 2026. Le rapport annuel est préparé par les directeurs exécutifs de l’ICSID, de la FIC, du MIGA et de la Banque mondiale (BIR/IDA) conformément aux statuts des institutions. 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It offers a comprehensive data set and analysis of the factors that strengthen the private sector, by advancing the interests of individual firms as well as those of workers, consumers, potential new enterprises, and the natural environment. The B-READY methodological framework rests on three pillars that form the foundation for assessing economies: Regulatory Framework, Public Services, and Operational Efficiency. The analysis is structured around 10 topics that correspond to different stages of the life cycle of a firm. B-READY draws on a robust primary data collection process that includes specially tailored expert questionnaires and firm-level surveys. As a new project, B-READY is in a three-year rollout phase, spanning 2024 to 2026. The 2025 report is an interim edition presenting data and emerging messages from 101 economies that represent all income levels and geographic regions. A full edition in 2026 will provide expanded global coverage and conclude the rollout period.", "language" : "en", "authority" : null, "confidence" : -1, "place" : 0 }, { "value" : "بيزنس ريديز (B-READY) هو تقرير رائد لمجموعة البنك الدولي يقدم تقييما كميا لمناخ الأعمال والاستثمار حول العالم. يقدم مجموعة بيانات شاملة وتحليل للعوامل التي تعزز القطاع الخاص، من خلال تعزيز مصالح الشركات الفردية وكذلك مصالح العمال والمستهلكين والمؤسسات الجديدة المحتملة والبيئة الطبيعية. يرتكز إطار B-READY المنهجي على ثلاثة ركائز تشكل الأساس لتقييم الاقتصادات: الإطار التنظيمي، الخدمات العامة، والكفاءة التشغيلية. يركز التحليل على 10 مواضيع تتوافق مع مراحل مختلفة من دورة حياة الشركة. تعتمد B-READY على عملية جمع بيانات أولية قوية تشمل استبيانات خبراء مصممة خصيصا واستبيانات على مستوى الشركات. كمشروع جديد، يمر B-READY بمرحلة النشر لمدة ثلاث سنوات، تمتد من 2024 إلى 2026. تقرير 2025 هو إصدار مؤقت يقدم بيانات ورسائل ناشئة من 101 اقتصاد تمثل جميع مستويات الدخل والمناطق الجغرافية. ستوفر النسخة الكاملة في عام 2026 تغطية عالمية موسعة وتختتم فترة الإطلاق.", "language" : "ar", "authority" : null, "confidence" : 0, "place" : 1 }, { "value" : "Business Ready (B-READY) est un rapport phare du Groupe de la Banque mondiale qui fournit une évaluation quantitative du climat des affaires et de l’investissement à l’échelle mondiale. Il offre un ensemble de données complet et une analyse des facteurs qui renforcent le secteur privé, en faisant avancer les intérêts des entreprises individuelles ainsi que ceux des travailleurs, des consommateurs, des nouvelles entreprises potentielles et de l’environnement naturel. Le cadre méthodologique B-READY repose sur trois piliers qui constituent la base de l’évaluation des économies : le cadre réglementaire, les services publics et l’efficacité opérationnelle. L’analyse est structurée autour de 10 sujets correspondant à différentes étapes du cycle de vie d’une entreprise. B-READY s’appuie sur un processus robuste de collecte de données primaires comprenant des questionnaires d’experts spécialement adaptés et des enquêtes au niveau des entreprises. En tant que nouveau projet, B-READY est en phase de déploiement de trois ans, s’étendant de 2024 à 2026. Le rapport 2025 est une édition intermédiaire présentant des données et des messages émergents provenant de 101 économies représentant tous les niveaux de revenus et régions géographiques. Une édition complète en 2026 offrira une couverture mondiale élargie et conclura la période de déploiement.", "language" : "fr", "authority" : null, "confidence" : -1, "place" : 2 }, { "value" : "Business Ready (B-READY) — это корпоративный флагманский отчет Группы Всемирного банка, который предоставляет количественную оценку делового и инвестиционного климата во всём мире. Он предлагает комплексный набор данных и анализ факторов, укрепляющих частный сектор, продвигая интересы отдельных компаний, а также работников, потребителей, потенциальных новых предприятий и природной среды. Методологическая рамка B-READY опирается на три столпа, лежащие в основе оценки экономики: нормативная база, государственные услуги и операционная эффективность. Анализ структурирован вокруг 10 тем, соответствующих различным этапам жизненного цикла компании. B-READY опирается на надёжный процесс сбора первичных данных, включающий специально разработанные экспертные анкеты и опросы на уровне фирмы. Как новый проект, B-READY находится на трёхлетней фазе внедрения, охватывающей период с 2024 по 2026 год. Отчёт 2025 года — это промежуточное издание, представляющее данные и новые сообщения из 101 экономики, представляющей все уровни доходов и географические регионы. Полноценный выпуск в 2026 году предоставит расширенное глобальное освещение и завершит период запуска.", "language" : "ru", "authority" : null, "confidence" : -1, "place" : 3 }, { "value" : "Business Ready (B-READY) es un informe corporativo emblemático del Grupo del Banco Mundial que ofrece una evaluación cuantitativa del clima empresarial e inversor a nivel mundial. 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It further provides policy recommendations for measures to help strengthen the authority, ability, and financing of local governments across the three area types.", "language" : "en", "authority" : null, "confidence" : -1, "place" : 0 }, { "value" : "L’Afrique subsaharienne connaît une urbanisation rapide. Au cours des vingt-cinq prochaines années, la région verra sa population citadine s’accroître de 748 millions d’habitants, soit à peu près autant qu’au cours des cinquante dernières années. D’ici 2050, son urbanisation sera pour l’essentiel achevée.\n\nÀ partir de sources de données variées et à travers le prisme du cadre conceptuel du Groupe de la Banque mondiale pour l’emploi, L’éveil urbain de l’Afrique subsaharienne examine comment les décideurs publics de la région peuvent tirer le meilleur parti des opportunités — limitées dans le temps — qu’offre l’accélération de l’urbanisation pour stimuler la croissance\néconomique et les créations d’emplois tant attendues. 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